As many as 18.2 million people may die of Covid in the first two years of Pandemi, researchers found in the global estimates reviewed by peer first of excess deaths.

The victim of the pandemic killed may be three times higher than the official record of Covid-19 suggested, according to a study that found a striking difference throughout the country and region.

As many as 18.2 million people may die of Covid in the first two years of Pandemi, researchers found in the global estimates reviewed by peer first of excess deaths. They appoint a lack of testing and unreliable death data to explain the differences with official estimates of around 5.9 million deaths.

“At the global level, this is the biggest surprise of mortality since Spanish flu,” Christopher said J.L. Murray, Director of the Institute for Health Metrics and evaluation at the University of Washington, where this research was conducted. Covid drives a 17% leap in death throughout the world, he said in an interview. The flu pandemic which began in 1918 killed at least 50 million people.

This finding, published in the medical journal Lancet, focuses on excess deaths to avoid calculating and assessing the extent to which the destruction of pandemics. While death continues to accumulate, scientists compare mortality between January 1, 2020 and December 31, 2021 for data comparable for previous years.

Evidence shows that the mortality surge is a direct result of Covid-19, the researchers said. But some deaths may also have happened indirectly, they said, caused by lack of access to health care and other important services during a pandemic, or from a shift in behavior that causes suicide or drug abuse.

“Studies from several countries, including Sweden and the Netherlands, suggested Covid-19 is the direct cause of most excessive deaths,” said Haidong Wang, a health health science professor at the Institute, in a statement based in Seattle. “Understanding the actual death of the pandemic is very important for effective public health decision making.”

Increasing data on deaths can provide a more clear picture of the best way to direct efforts to protect their citizens, said Jennifer Ellis, who leads data for health programs in the Bloomberg philanthropy that works with low and medium-income countries to strengthen information collection. Filanthropi Bloomberg is a charity organization founded by Michael Bloomberg, founder and owner of the majority Bloomberg News’ Bloomberg LP.

Track death

“Pandemics have explained that tracking how many people are dying, and the reasons for death-death, it is very important for the government to form better policies and improve health outcomes,” Ellis said.

Only 36 countries released the cause of death data for 2020 so far. Researchers use weekly or monthly data on deaths from all causes in the past two years and up to 11 years earlier for 74 countries and 266 countries and provinces through the search for government websites, European statistical databases.

Statistical models are used to predict excess deaths for countries that do not report weekly or monthly data. The excess death is 9.5 times higher than reported in South Asia and 14.2 times higher in sub-Saharan Africa, the researchers found.

Because of the large population, India alone accounts for around 22% – or 4.1 million – from global death. US. And Russia is the next highest with 1.1 million, followed by Mexico, Brazil and Indonesia.

In the end, scientists estimate that there are excess 120 deaths for every 100,000 people worldwide. This study found 21 countries had estimated the mortality rate higher than 300 per 100,000, led by Bolivia and Bulgaria.

As many as 18.2 million people may die of Covid in the first two years of Pandemi, researchers found in the global estimates reviewed by peer first of excess deaths.

The victim of the pandemic killed may be three times higher than the official record of Covid-19 suggested, according to a study that found a striking difference throughout the country and region.

As many as 18.2 million people may die of Covid in the first two years of Pandemi, researchers found in the global estimates reviewed by peer first of excess deaths. They appoint a lack of testing and unreliable death data to explain the differences with official estimates of around 5.9 million deaths.

“At the global level, this is the biggest surprise of mortality since Spanish flu,” Christopher said J.L. Murray, Director of the Institute for Health Metrics and evaluation at the University of Washington, where this research was conducted. Covid drives a 17% leap in death throughout the world, he said in an interview. The flu pandemic which began in 1918 killed at least 50 million people.

This finding, published in the medical journal Lancet, focuses on excess deaths to avoid calculating and assessing the extent to which the destruction of pandemics. While death continues to accumulate, scientists compare mortality between January 1, 2020 and December 31, 2021 for data comparable for previous years.

Evidence shows that the mortality surge is a direct result of Covid-19, the researchers said. But some deaths may also have happened indirectly, they said, caused by lack of access to health care and other important services during a pandemic, or from a shift in behavior that causes suicide or drug abuse.

“Studies from several countries, including Sweden and the Netherlands, suggested Covid-19 is the direct cause of most excessive deaths,” said Haidong Wang, a health health science professor at the Institute, in a statement based in Seattle. “Understanding the actual death of the pandemic is very important for effective public health decision making.”

Increasing data on deaths can provide a more clear picture of the best way to direct efforts to protect their citizens, said Jennifer Ellis, who leads data for health programs in the Bloomberg philanthropy that works with low and medium-income countries to strengthen information collection. Filanthropi Bloomberg is a charity organization founded by Michael Bloomberg, founder and owner of the majority Bloomberg News’ Bloomberg LP.

Track death

“Pandemics have explained that tracking how many people are dying, and the reasons for death-death, it is very important for the government to form better policies and improve health outcomes,” Ellis said.

Only 36 countries released the cause of death data for 2020 so far. Researchers use weekly or monthly data on deaths from all causes in the past two years and up to 11 years earlier for 74 countries and 266 countries and provinces through the search for government websites, European statistical databases.

Statistical models are used to predict excess deaths for countries that do not report weekly or monthly data. The excess death is 9.5 times higher than reported in South Asia and 14.2 times higher in sub-Saharan Africa, the researchers found.

Because of the large population, India alone accounts for around 22% – or 4.1 million – from global death. US. And Russia is the next highest with 1.1 million, followed by Mexico, Brazil and Indonesia.

In the end, scientists estimate that there are excess 120 deaths for every 100,000 people worldwide. This study found 21 countries had estimated the mortality rate higher than 300 per 100,000, led by Bolivia and Bulgaria.